Hurricane Lee is charting a new course in the weather and could signal more monster storms

Experts say Hurricane Lee is rewriting the old rules of meteorology

Experts say Lee — which quickly dropped to a still-dangerous Category 3 and retained that strength Saturday — could be a harbinger as ocean temperatures rise, bringing fast-growing major hurricanes that could threaten communities far north and inland.

“Hurricanes get stronger at higher latitudes,” said Marshall Shepherd, director of the University of Georgia’s Atmospheric Sciences Program and former president of the American Meteorological Society. “If this trend continues, it will feature places like Washington, D.C., New York and Boston.”

Excessive condensation

As the oceans warm, they act as jet fuel for hurricanes.

“That extra heat comes back at some point, and one of the ways that happens is through stronger hurricanes,” Shepherd said.

During the overnight hours Thursday, Lee broke the benchmark for what meteorologists call rapid intensification — when a hurricane’s sustained winds increase by 35 mph (56 km/h) in a 24-hour period.

“This got about 80 mph[129kph],” Shepherd said. “I can’t stress this enough,” said Shepherd, who describes what happened with Lee as hyperintensification. “We used to have this gauge of 35 miles per hour, and here is a storm that was twice that amount, and we see that happen frequently.” “.

With very warm ocean temperatures and low wind shear, “all the stars lined up to rapidly condense,” said Kerry Emanuel, professor emeritus of atmospheric sciences at MIT.

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Internal threats

Category 5 condition, when sustained wind speeds are at least 157 mph (253 km/h), is very rare. Only about 4.5% of named storms in the Atlantic developed into Category 5 in the past decade, said Brian McNoldy, a scientist and hurricane researcher at the University of Miami.

More intense major hurricanes also threaten communities inland, because monster storms can grow so powerful that they remain dangerous hurricanes for longer distances above land.

“I think this is a somewhat untold story,” Shepherd said. “Because these storms are powerful when they make landfall, in some cases they move fast enough that they remain as hurricanes inland.”

Hurricane Idalia was the most recent example. It came ashore in the Florida Panhandle last month and remained a hurricane as it entered southern Georgia, hitting the city of Valdosta more than 70 miles (116 kilometers) from where it made landfall. At least 80 homes were destroyed in the Valdosta area and hundreds more homes were damaged.

Monster waves

Although it is too early to know how close Lee will approach the East Coast of the United States, New Englanders are watching the storm warily. As it gets closer, it may bring rising sea levels and rip currents up and down the East Coast.

“What we will see from Lee — and we are very confident — is that it will be a major wave producer,” Mike Brennan, director of the National Hurricane Center, said at a news conference on Friday.

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On Saturday, big waves hit the northeastern Caribbean Sea as Lee made his way through open waters hundreds of miles off the northern Leeward Islands.

“This morning, the highest significant wave height we were analyzing in Lee was between 45 and 50 feet, and the highest waves can be twice that,” Brennan said, speaking of waves far offshore. “So we can look at 80- or 90-foot waves attached to Lee.”

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