Situation in Ukraine, supporting maps, Friday October 13, 2023

Russia’s major attack on the Ukrainian city of Avdiivka.


The Russian attack on Avdiivka was not a local effort to fix Ukrainian forces. The U.S. Institute for War Studies has revised its earlier assessment and is unwilling to spell out the exact goals and potential consequences of Russian efforts in this area, the think tank adds.

Russian forces may have launched a significant and sustained offensive around Avdiivka in the Donetsk region since October 10.

The American think tank observed that they were simultaneously attacking northwest, west, and south of Avdiivka using armored assault groups, rotary-wing aircraft, and concentrated artillery.

Vitaly Barabash, the head of the military administration of the city of Avdivka, said that Russian forces are carrying out attacks with air support in 10-12 directions around the settlement.

The think tank says: As of October 12 Russian forces have not made any major advances near Avdiivka and are unlikely to immediately cut off Ukrainian forces in the city.

Ukrainian military observers called the Russian offensive against Avdiyvka a “major offensive” and noted that Russian forces used an unusually large number of armored vehicles in the battle.

Geotagged images indicate that Russian forces may have lost at least one battalion tactical group’s worth of armored vehicles during offensive operations around Avdiivka.

The agency acknowledges that its earlier estimate may have been overestimated and that Russian forces may not have applied lessons learned from earlier offensive operations near Vuhledar in February 2023 or around Kyiv in March 2022. in an irregular manner.

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