According to Yannick Quéau, director of GRIP, all three summits are a reminder of the fundamentals of the Allies: “a reminder of solidarity, a willingness to support Ukraine and not to be directly involved”, details t-he.
It is true that Europeans can rarely see unity. However, the card of the Russian embargo, the real weapon of economic catastrophe that could have a significant impact, has not yet been stamped. In question, in particular, the share of Russian gas exported to Europe is almost dependent on many countries: “Not all European soldiers are at the same risk”, the guest points out.
A month-long war in Ukraine
U.S. intelligence says Russian casualties are relatively high. However, this is a communication war. According to Yannick Quéau, these facts may seem objectively proven, but the Ukrainian casualties are deliberately concealed without undermining the morale of Ukrainian troops and allies.
Regarding the nuclear threat of conflict, expert relativity says: “It must be taken seriously, but measured, weighed. The stalemate takes the risk of nuclear power, but it is not immeasurable,” he promises.
One month after the invasion, can we talk about the defeat of the Russians? According to political scientist Tangui Stui, this is a mistake. “I think we have to be careful. We take at face value everything that comes from the Ukrainian side. However, we really have no real feedback from the field,” he snapped.
Towards a future common European army?
Often referred to, there is talk of a common European defense again in view of recent events in Ukraine. Yannick Quéau’s problem is that for a long time European nations did not trust each other: “There are fundamentally different views on the use of force. However, there is an awareness, ‘As individuals, nations can not do anything of this kind. Environment,’ he explains.
One comment shared by Tangy Stuye: “Personally, I do not see this European defense in action.
China unknown in this conflict
China finds itself in a subtle position. She can not really abandon her Russian ally. NATO has made it clear that sanctions will be reduced if Xi Jinping supports Russia in the conflict. For the director of GRIP, isolating the Chinese economy would be more complicated: “We are talking about the world’s leading economies by 2040-2045. We have very strong alliances with a large part of the world.
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